Summary Test Results - Trend Weaver



Stepped Parameter Summary Performance
Test Ending Balance CAGR% MAR Modified Sharpe Annual Sharpe Max Total Equity DD Longest Drawdown # Trades
113,025,446,692.0564.14%1.701.431.0637.8%23.23,570

  


























Yearly Performance Summary
Year  Days  Closed Balance  End Total Equity  Total Equity Gain  Gain % # Trades
199036581,684.1491,940.2241,940.2283.9%95
1991365109,805.71131,043.2139,103.0042.5%116
1992366166,118.54196,556.5465,513.3250.0%141
1993365287,044.10330,165.70133,609.1668.0%138
1994365658,288.88737,674.48407,508.79123.4%137
1995365879,839.571,151,895.77414,221.2956.2%150
19963661,802,813.782,024,903.78873,008.0175.8%152
19973653,552,528.074,308,440.072,283,536.29112.8%133
19983655,878,488.276,962,916.922,654,476.8561.6%151
19993657,151,748.717,696,956.21734,039.2810.5%152
200036618,435,605.4624,989,530.7117,292,574.51224.7%137
200136542,682,793.3446,424,448.8421,434,918.1285.8%145
200236547,846,964.5861,604,765.8315,180,316.9932.7%147
200336596,732,114.34109,822,622.6448,217,856.8278.3%136
2004366160,413,061.39185,579,264.1475,756,641.5069.0%146
2005365235,531,785.99240,259,660.9954,680,396.8529.5%146
2006365404,273,494.52425,862,672.02185,603,011.0377.3%137
2007365618,137,902.55708,611,328.85282,748,656.8366.4%137
20083662,111,794,722.572,219,895,585.071,511,284,256.22213.3%144
20093652,625,780,541.482,834,710,045.78614,814,460.7127.7%151
20103653,963,260,684.544,978,227,773.542,143,517,727.7675.6%147
20113654,228,066,987.044,258,041,653.54-720,186,120.00-14.5%161
20123664,800,349,533.564,906,852,260.06648,810,606.5215.2%145
20133654,416,227,688.974,593,454,859.97-313,397,400.09-6.4%149
20143659,627,123,457.7510,916,495,319.956,323,040,459.98137.7%144
20156113,025,446,692.0513,025,446,692.052,108,951,372.1019.3%33

Trading Performance
CAGR %64.14%
MAR Ratio1.70
RAR %67.69%
R-Cubed2.78
Robust Sharpe Ratio1.67
Margin to Equity Ratio52.44%
Daily Return %0.2161%
Daily Geometric Return %0.1358%
Daily Standard Deviation %2.29%
Daily Downside Deviation %1.47%
Daily Sharpe0.091
Daily Geo Sharpe0.056
Daily Sortino0.142
Modified Sharpe Ratio1.43
Annual Sharpe Ratio1.06
Annual Sortino Ratio+ ∞  
Monthly Sharpe Ratio0.39
Monthly Sortino Ratio1.12
Calmar Ratio2.02
R-Squared0.988
Maximum Total Equity Drawdown %37.80%
Longest Total Equity Drawdown (months)23.23
Average Max TE Drawdown %31.85%
Average Max TE Drawdown Length (months)12.83
Maximum Monthly Total Equity Drawdown %31.81%
Maximum Monthly Closed Equity Drawdown %26.15%
Maximum Closed Equity Drawdown %32.34%
Average Closed Equity Drawdown %6.14%
Round Turns Per Million3,674
Round Turns141,283,337
Total Trades3,570
Start Account Balance50,000.00
Total Win Dollars44,143,447,358.97
Total Loss Dollars31,118,050,666.93
Total Profit13,025,396,692.05
Earned Interest0.00
Margin Interest0.00
End Account Balance13,025,446,692.05
End Open Equity0.00
End Total Equity13,025,446,692.05
Highest Total Equity15,097,306,228.79
Highest Closed Equity13,470,641,283.80
Total Commissions0.00
Commission per Round Turn0.00
Total Slippage2,949,751,626.86
Slippage per Round Turn20.88
Total Forex Carry0.00
Total Dividends0.00
Total Other Expenses0.00

Monte Carlo Confidence Level Statistics
90% Return50.42%
90% Sharpe0.05
90% MAR1.06
90% R Squared0.969
90% Maximum Drawdown50.97%
90% Second Largest Drawdown42.01%
90% Third Largest Drawdown37.54%
90% Longest Drawdown33.9
90% Second Longest Drawdown21.3
90% Third Longest Drawdown16.6

Test Period
First Test Date1990-01-01
Last Test Date2015-03-02

Win/Loss Statistics
Wins139539.1%
Losses217560.9%
Total3570100.0%
Winning Months18862.0%
Losing Months11538.0%
Total303100.0%
Average Risk Percent1.62%
Average Win Percent2.74%
Average Loss Percent1.09%
Average Win Dollars31,644,048.29
Average Loss Dollars14,307,149.73
Average Trade Percent0.41%
Average Trade Duration24.95
Average Trade Dollars3,648,570.50
Profit Factor1.42
Percent Profit Factor1.61
Expectation0.25

Equity Management
Test Starting Equity50,000.00
Order Generation Equity0.00
Order Generation Equity High0.00
Leverage (fraction)1.00
Trading Equity BaseTotal Equity
Drawdown Reduction Threshold (%)0.00%
Drawdown Reduction Amount (%)0.00%

Global Simulation Parameters
Earn InterestFALSE
Earn DividendsTRUE
Pay Margin on StocksTRUE
Commission per Stock Trade0.00
Commission per Stock Share0.00
Commission per Contract0.00
Commission by Stock Value (%)0.00%
Slippage Percent5.00%
Minimum Slippage0.00
Forex Trade Size1,000.00
Account for Forex CarryTRUE
Use Pip Based SlippageFALSE
Account for Contract RollsTRUE
Roll Slippage in % of ATR5.00%
Minimum Stock Volume0
Minimum Futures Volume0
Max Percent Volume Per Trade0.00%
Entry Day Retracement0.00%
Max Margin Equity0.00%
Trade on Lock DaysFALSE
Convert Profit by Stock SplitTRUE
Trade Always on TickTRUE
Smart Fill ExitTRUE
Use Start Date SteppingFALSE
Use Broker PositionsFALSE

Preferences
Risk Free Rate3.00%
Load VolumeTRUE
Load Unadjusted CloseTRUE
Raise Negative DataFALSE
Process Weekly BarsTRUE
Process Monthly BarsTRUE
Process Daily BarsTRUE
Process WeekendsTRUE
Additional Years of Data5.00

Instrument Performance Summary
Symbol  Wins  %  Losses  %  Trades  Win Months  %  Loss Months  %  Avg. Win %  Avg. Loss %  Avg. Trade %  % Proft Factor
AD6332.8%12967.2%19215149.8%15250.2%2.75%1.03%0.21%1.30
C7036.3%12363.7%19314246.9%16153.1%2.47%1.20%0.13%1.17
CL7240.0%10860.0%18017256.8%13143.2%2.80%1.02%0.51%1.82
CT7035.2%12964.8%19915350.5%15049.5%2.90%1.06%0.33%1.49
DT8147.4%9052.6%17117758.4%12641.6%3.15%1.09%0.92%2.60
DX7239.1%11260.9%18415751.8%14648.2%2.85%1.10%0.45%1.67
EC7139.9%10760.1%17816855.4%13544.6%3.21%1.08%0.63%1.97
ED8040.0%12060.0%20016454.1%13945.9%3.33%1.29%0.56%1.72
FC7036.6%12163.4%19114848.8%15551.2%2.92%1.18%0.32%1.43
GC6735.6%12164.4%18814046.2%16353.8%2.51%1.04%0.23%1.34
HG7036.3%12363.7%19314547.9%15852.1%3.04%1.12%0.39%1.54
JY7342.2%10057.8%17316353.8%14046.2%2.91%1.09%0.60%1.95
LB8244.8%10155.2%18316454.1%13945.9%2.51%1.01%0.57%2.03
LH7438.9%11661.1%19013745.2%16654.8%2.42%1.04%0.31%1.48
NG7742.3%10557.7%18216955.8%13444.2%2.50%1.12%0.42%1.65
OJ7637.8%12562.2%20115049.5%15350.5%1.87%0.95%0.12%1.20
PA8141.3%11558.7%19615450.8%14949.2%3.07%1.09%0.63%1.98
S7338.8%11561.2%18814949.2%15450.8%2.16%1.08%0.17%1.26
SB7338.8%11561.2%18815049.5%15350.5%2.63%1.09%0.35%1.53

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